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Example text

E. the expected values calculated in (c). Asin (c), the expected incremental cash flows are calculated on the assumption that the environmental factors adopt their expected values. e) Measurement of the firm's and the projects' sensitivities for unexpected changes in the environmental factors. The effect of the expected changes in the environmental factors has already be included in the expected cash flows calculated in (c) and (d). t) Identification, specification and, if possible, valuation of the options (<

19) or (20) can be cumbersome. In such a case, the relatively efficacious approach may be the numerical inversion of the Laplace transforms by using computers. Some numerical inversion methods can be found in [22-24]. In practice, however, we often hope to obtain reasonable estimates of the principal characteristics for the system under consideration. But in the numerical approach it is difficult to study the structure of the solution or to examine explicit parametric relationships. Moreover the numerical round-off and cancellation errors limit the accuracy of the related results from time to time.

At the first station products (material) arrive at independent stochastic intervals having negatively exponential distributions with a common mean of = 55 1 I). The M IMil. character of the first station ensures that the release intervals also will be exponentially distributed with the same mean and this follows straight through the entire system. ) . The net present value of an individual product l, l = 0, 1,2, ... , will be made up of outpayments cl' cz, ... , cN' and an inpayment p discounted to its arrival time at the first station: (34) where 7"k is the stochastic time the product spends at station k.

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